November 21, 2002
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 905 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -13 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:29 | 1:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 159 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -21 |
Robbie Lawler earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:29, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 159 | 853 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Robbie Lawler controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robbie Lawler capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 140 | 768 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 637 |
| Activity ELO | 1 134 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -12 |
Robbie Lawler demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Robbie Lawler capitalized on this activity level, while Tiki Ghosn's 637-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -16 |
Robbie Lawler extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tiki Ghosn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tiki Ghosn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.