July 29, 2016
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 279 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +62 |
Tyron Woodley overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Robbie Lawler.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 256 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +96 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Tyron Woodley captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:12 | 2:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 485 | 1 567 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +118 |
Tyron Woodley earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 444 | 1 625 |
| ELO Change | -131 | +131 |
Tyron Woodley controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 3 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyron Woodley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 360 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Tyron Woodley landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 546 |
| Activity ELO | 1 385 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +28 |
Tyron Woodley demonstrated extended layoff with 546 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Robbie Lawler's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 226 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +38 |
Tyron Woodley extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robbie Lawler is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 149 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.