February 21, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:43 | 3:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +78 |
Stephen Thompson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Stephen Thompson controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 19 total strikes, 38 vs 19 significant strikes, 47.5% vs 28.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stephen Thompson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Stephen Thompson landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 179 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +33 |
Stephen Thompson demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stephen Thompson capitalized on this activity level, while Robert Whittaker's 179-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Stephen Thompson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robert Whittaker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

