July 7, 2017
UFC Interim Middleweight Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 308 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Robert Whittaker's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robert Whittaker for the expected result. Had Yoel Romero pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 174 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 633 | 1 568 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Robert Whittaker earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 221 | 107 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 668 | 1 621 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Robert Whittaker controlled the striking exchanges with 94 vs 114 total strikes, 74 vs 48 significant strikes, 33.5% vs 44.9% accuracy. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 18 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:34 | 5:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 414 | 1 461 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Robert Whittaker did not secure a significant ground advantage against Yoel Romero on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:34 of control time, 8 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 350 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -22 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Yoel Romero's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 357 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -27 |
Robert Whittaker continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Yoel Romero's now at 0.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 173 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.