June 8, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 344 | 1 317 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Robert Whittaker's 2-fight experience advantage (13 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robert Whittaker for the expected result. Had Yoel Romero pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 196 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 644 | 1 632 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Robert Whittaker receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 128 | 111 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 326 | 240 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 129 | 149 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 690 | 1 637 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Yoel Romero controlled the striking through superior volume (149 vs 129 total strikes), significant strike advantage (111 vs 128), 2 knockdowns. However, since Yoel Romero lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Robert Whittaker's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:37 | 4:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 441 | 1 491 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Robert Whittaker did not secure a significant ground advantage against Yoel Romero on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:37 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 368 | 1 281 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Yoel Romero's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 9 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 437 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -21 |
Robert Whittaker continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Yoel Romero's now at 0.
| Metric | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 194 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

