March 6, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 106 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Rodolfo Vieira overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Saparbeg Safarov.
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:58 | 2:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 140 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -32 |
Rodolfo Vieira earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 051 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Rodolfo Vieira slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Rodolfo Vieira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:54 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 231 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -99 |
Rodolfo Vieira dominated Saparbeg Safarov on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:54 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Rodolfo Vieira demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rodolfo Vieira capitalized on this activity level, while Saparbeg Safarov's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Rodolfo Vieira extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Saparbeg Safarov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rodolfo Vieira | Saparbeg Safarov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.