September 16, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -37 |
Rodrigo Nascimento overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tanner Boser.
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 038 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rodrigo Nascimento receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 163 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Tanner Boser controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (163 vs 91 total strikes), significant strike advantage (62 vs 36), superior accuracy (53.9% vs 41.9%). However, since Tanner Boser lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rodrigo Nascimento's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:01 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Rodrigo Nascimento controlled Tanner Boser on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 8:01 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 427 | 448 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -37 |
Rodrigo Nascimento demonstrated extended layoff with 427 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Rodrigo Nascimento capitalized on this activity level, while Tanner Boser's 448-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Rodrigo Nascimento started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tanner Boser is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rodrigo Nascimento | Tanner Boser |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.