June 21, 2002
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +32 |
Tony Fryklund's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tony Fryklund for the expected result. Had Rodrigo Ruas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:34 | 3:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +76 |
Tony Fryklund gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 127 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 868 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -132 | +132 |
Tony Fryklund dominated the striking exchanges with 127 vs 19 total strikes, 60 vs 11 significant strikes, 58.8% vs 35.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tony Fryklund capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 6:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 49 |
| Ground ELO | 929 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Tony Fryklund controlled Rodrigo Ruas on the ground with 6:55 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 1 792 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Tony Fryklund demonstrated extended layoff with 1792 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tony Fryklund capitalized on this activity level, while Rodrigo Ruas's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tony Fryklund started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rodrigo Ruas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rodrigo Ruas | Tony Fryklund |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

