Rogerio Nogueira vs Ryan Bader

Ryan Bader's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ryan Bader for the expected result. Had Rogerio Nogueira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Ryan Bader earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Ryan Bader edged the striking exchanges with 66 vs 39 total strikes, 42 vs 28 significant strikes, 33.1% vs 22.0% accuracy. Ryan Bader capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ryan Bader dominated Rogerio Nogueira on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 3:43 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Ryan Bader demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Bader capitalized on this activity level, while Rogerio Nogueira's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Ryan Bader continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rogerio Nogueira's now at 0.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.