December 9, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -21 | 21 |
| Experience ELO | 1 158 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -37 |
Rogerio Nogueira overcame a 21-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tito Ortiz.
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:15 | 3:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 247 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | +146 | -68 |
Rogerio Nogueira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 295 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +143 | -143 |
Rogerio Nogueira dominated the striking exchanges with 80 vs 13 total strikes, 54 vs 9 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rogerio Nogueira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:36 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 37 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 081 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Rogerio Nogueira controlled Tito Ortiz on the ground with 1:36 of control time, 37 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -35 |
Rogerio Nogueira demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rogerio Nogueira capitalized on this activity level, while Tito Ortiz's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -29 |
Rogerio Nogueira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tito Ortiz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rogerio Nogueira | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.