March 19, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Trevin Giles's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Trevin Giles for the expected result. Had Roman Dolidze pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 053 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Trevin Giles earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Roman Dolidze controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (75 vs 43 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (32 vs 27). However, since Roman Dolidze lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Trevin Giles's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:15 | 1:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Trevin Giles controlled Roman Dolidze on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:15 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Trevin Giles demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Trevin Giles capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Dolidze's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Trevin Giles extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roman Dolidze is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Roman Dolidze | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.