April 13, 2000
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 027 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Ron Waterman's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ron Waterman for the expected result. Had Satoshi Honma pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 087 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Ron Waterman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 142 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Ron Waterman dominated the striking exchanges with 142 vs 30 total strikes, 51 vs 6 significant strikes, 82.3% vs 46.2% accuracy. Ron Waterman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:57 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 45 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 098 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -105 |
Ron Waterman dominated Satoshi Honma on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 11:57 of control time, 45 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Ron Waterman demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ron Waterman capitalized on this activity level, while Satoshi Honma's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Ron Waterman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Satoshi Honma is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ron Waterman | Satoshi Honma |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

