March 22, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +52 |
Thiago Santos overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ronny Markes.
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:53 | 0:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +145 |
Thiago Santos secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:53 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 827 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -189 | +189 |
Thiago Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 7 vs 0 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thiago Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 075 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Thiago Santos landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 233 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Thiago Santos demonstrated standard activity with 233 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Ronny Markes's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Thiago Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ronny Markes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ronny Markes | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.