Rory MacDonald vs Stephen Thompson

June 17, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1236
(-25)
Rory MacDonald
Winner: Stephen Thompson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 5 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Rory MacDonald-25
Stephen Thompson+34
1327
(+34)
Stephen Thompson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -32Stephen Thompson: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Total UFC Fights139
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 2281 295
ELO Change-32+41
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rory MacDonald.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -21Stephen Thompson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1111 151
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -31Stephen Thompson: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round55
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3941 553
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -15Stephen Thompson: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Significant Strikes Landed61110
Significant Strikes Attempted152259
Total Strikes Landed62124
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3171 592
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 62 total strikes, 110 vs 61 significant strikes. Stephen Thompson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -35Stephen Thompson: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:081:48
Ground Strikes Landed35
Ground ELO1 3141 345
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson slightly outworked Rory MacDonald on the ground with 1:48 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -26Stephen Thompson: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Days Since Last Fight343133
Activity ELO1 2581 259
ELO Change-26+51
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stephen Thompson capitalized on this activity level, while Rory MacDonald's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -19Stephen Thompson: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Win Streak07
Win Streak ELO1 1611 270
ELO Change-19+55
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rory MacDonald's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Rory MacDonald: -21Stephen Thompson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricRory MacDonaldStephen Thompson
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1071 149
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.