June 13, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 279 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Rory MacDonald's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rory MacDonald for the expected result. Had Tyron Woodley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 135 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 454 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Rory MacDonald earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 97 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 352 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Rory MacDonald dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 38 total strikes, 49 vs 26 significant strikes. Rory MacDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:06 | 1:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 395 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Rory MacDonald controlled Tyron Woodley on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:06 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 281 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -15 |
Rory MacDonald demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rory MacDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Tyron Woodley's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 185 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -15 |
Rory MacDonald extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tyron Woodley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rory MacDonald | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 136 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.