April 15, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 166 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Rose Namajunas earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 121 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 93 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Tecia Pennington controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (93 vs 48 total strikes), significant strike advantage (61 vs 46), superior accuracy (50.4% vs 29.5%). However, since Tecia Pennington lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rose Namajunas's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:20 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 333 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Rose Namajunas controlled Tecia Pennington on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:20 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 128 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 122 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -20 |
Rose Namajunas demonstrated solid activity levels with 128 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rose Namajunas capitalized on this activity level, while Tecia Pennington's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -23 |
Rose Namajunas extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tecia Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rose Namajunas | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.