April 5, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 131 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Ross Pearson's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ross Pearson for the expected result. Had Ryan Couture pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:45 | 3:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 262 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -18 |
Ross Pearson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 204 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Ross Pearson controlled the striking exchanges with 68.3% vs 37.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ross Pearson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 3:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Ross Pearson landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 189 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -12 |
Ross Pearson demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ross Pearson capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Couture's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -16 |
Ross Pearson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Couture is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ross Pearson | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

