September 24, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Taila Santos overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Roxanne Modafferi.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 982 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Taila Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Taila Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 43 total strikes, 55 vs 18 significant strikes, 57.9% vs 19.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Taila Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:02 | 8:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 948 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Taila Santos landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 248 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Taila Santos demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Taila Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Roxanne Modafferi's 248-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 971 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Taila Santos extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roxanne Modafferi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Taila Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.