January 19, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Viviane Araujo overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Roxanne Modafferi.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Viviane Araujo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 198 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 100 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 031 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Viviane Araujo dominated the striking exchanges with 100 vs 49 total strikes, 86 vs 46 significant strikes, 43.4% vs 25.0% accuracy. Viviane Araujo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 994 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Viviane Araujo edged out Roxanne Modafferi on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 3:06 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 131 | 138 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Viviane Araujo demonstrated solid activity levels with 138 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Viviane Araujo capitalized on this activity level, while Roxanne Modafferi's 131-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 989 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Viviane Araujo extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roxanne Modafferi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Roxanne Modafferi | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.