May 9, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Soa Palelei's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Soa Palelei for the expected result. Had Ruan Potts pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:20 | 2:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 977 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +51 |
Soa Palelei earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 927 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Soa Palelei slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 5 vs 0 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 0.0% accuracy. Soa Palelei capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 1:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Soa Palelei controlled Ruan Potts on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:41 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
Soa Palelei demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Soa Palelei capitalized on this activity level, while Ruan Potts's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Soa Palelei extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ruan Potts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ruan Potts | Soa Palelei |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.