November 8, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 194 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Rustam Khabilov's 11-fight experience advantage (13 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rustam Khabilov for the expected result. Had Sergey Khandozhko pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 132 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 272 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Rustam Khabilov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 188 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 249 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Sergey Khandozhko controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (188 vs 56 total strikes), significant strike advantage (25 vs 12). However, since Sergey Khandozhko lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rustam Khabilov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:35 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 404 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Rustam Khabilov dominated Sergey Khandozhko on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:35 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 243 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -10 |
Rustam Khabilov demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this activity level, while Sergey Khandozhko's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 187 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -12 |
Rustam Khabilov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sergey Khandozhko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rustam Khabilov | Sergey Khandozhko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 128 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.