January 25, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 181 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 109 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:50 | 0:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 379 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -37 |
Ryan Bader locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:50 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 304 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 235 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 393 |
| Activity ELO | 1 245 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -17 |
Ryan Bader demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Bader capitalized on this activity level, while Vladimir Matyushenko's 393-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 142 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Ryan Bader started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vladimir Matyushenko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ryan Bader | Vladimir Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

