June 3, 2011
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Shamar Bailey earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 959 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Shamar Bailey controlled the striking exchanges with 63 vs 25 total strikes, 33 vs 19 significant strikes, 47.8% vs 20.9% accuracy. Shamar Bailey capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 9:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 906 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Shamar Bailey dominated Ryan McGillivray on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 9:21 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Shamar Bailey demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Shamar Bailey capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan McGillivray's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Shamar Bailey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan McGillivray is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ryan McGillivray | Shamar Bailey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

