Ryan McGillivray vs Shamar Bailey

June 3, 2011

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

965
(-35)
Ryan McGillivray
Winner: Shamar Bailey
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ryan McGillivray-35
Shamar Bailey+36
1036
(+36)
Shamar Bailey

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -21Shamar Bailey: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -21Shamar Bailey: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -42Shamar Bailey: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9581 042
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Shamar Bailey earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -41Shamar Bailey: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Significant Strikes Landed1933
Significant Strikes Attempted9169
Total Strikes Landed2563
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9591 041
ELO Change-41+41
💡

What Happened

Shamar Bailey controlled the striking exchanges with 63 vs 25 total strikes, 33 vs 19 significant strikes, 47.8% vs 20.9% accuracy. Shamar Bailey capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -94Shamar Bailey: +94

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Takedowns Landed05
Takedowns Attempted19
Ground Control Time0:009:21
Ground Strikes Landed15
Ground ELO9061 094
ELO Change-94+94
💡

What Happened

Shamar Bailey dominated Ryan McGillivray on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 9:21 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -21Shamar Bailey: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Shamar Bailey demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Shamar Bailey capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan McGillivray's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -21Shamar Bailey: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Shamar Bailey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan McGillivray is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ryan McGillivray: -21Shamar Bailey: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricRyan McGillivrayShamar Bailey
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.