March 15, 2025
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ryan Spann.
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +4 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 366 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 994 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta dominated the striking exchanges with 77 vs 24 total strikes, 66 vs 23 significant strikes, 59.5% vs 26.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Waldo Cortes Acosta capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 946 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 309 |
| Activity ELO | 1 171 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta demonstrated standard activity with 309 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Waldo Cortes Acosta capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Spann's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
Both fighters entered without active win streaks, creating neutral momentum conditions. Waldo Cortes Acosta broke his rough patch while Ryan Spann extended his struggles.
| Metric | Ryan Spann | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +4 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.