August 19, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Tim Means's 11-fight experience advantage (12 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Sabah Homasi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:56 | 2:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 983 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +36 |
Tim Means gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Tim Means controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 38 total strikes, 71 vs 33 significant strikes, 60.2% vs 41.3% accuracy. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:01 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Tim Means did not secure a significant ground advantage against Sabah Homasi on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 254 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +11 |
Tim Means demonstrated standard activity with 254 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Sabah Homasi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Tim Means extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sabah Homasi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sabah Homasi | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

