February 28, 2014
Ultimate Fighter China Welterweight Tournament Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Zhang Lipeng receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Sai Wang controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (100 vs 37 total strikes), significant strike advantage (31 vs 10). However, since Sai Wang lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Zhang Lipeng's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:12 | 3:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Zhang Lipeng edged out Sai Wang on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 3:29 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Zhang Lipeng demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Zhang Lipeng capitalized on this activity level, while Sai Wang's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Zhang Lipeng started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sai Wang is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sai Wang | Zhang Lipeng |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

