February 1, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 156 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +59 |
Vinicius Oliveira overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Said Nurmagomedov.
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 249 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Vinicius Oliveira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 292 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Vinicius Oliveira slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 43 vs 38 significant strikes. Vinicius Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 7:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Vinicius Oliveira dominated Said Nurmagomedov on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 7:12 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 470 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 122 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Vinicius Oliveira demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vinicius Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Said Nurmagomedov's 470-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +33 |
Vinicius Oliveira extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Said Nurmagomedov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Said Nurmagomedov | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.