Sam Hughes vs Tecia Pennington

December 11, 2020

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

978
(-22)
Sam Hughes
Winner: Tecia Pennington
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Round 1 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Sam Hughes-22
Tecia Pennington+24
1081
(+24)
Tecia Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -27Tecia Pennington: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Total UFC Fights113
Experience Gap-1212
Experience ELO9731 078
ELO Change-27+27
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What Happened

Tecia Pennington's 12-fight experience advantage (13 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tecia Pennington for the expected result. Had Sam Hughes pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -19Tecia Pennington: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 055
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -20Tecia Pennington: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Fight OutcomeTKO - Doctor's StoppageTKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Last Round11
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9801 096
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

Tecia Pennington earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -33Tecia Pennington: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed2052
Significant Strikes Attempted53103
Total Strikes Landed2652
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9671 116
ELO Change-33+33
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What Happened

Tecia Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 26 total strikes, 52 vs 20 significant strikes, 50.5% vs 37.7% accuracy. Tecia Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -23Tecia Pennington: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:510:15
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9771 072
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Sam Hughes on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:15 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -17Tecia Pennington: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Days Since Last FightN/A176
Activity ELO9831 104
ELO Change-17+29
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tecia Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Hughes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -18Tecia Pennington: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9821 075
ELO Change-18+21
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What Happened

Tecia Pennington extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Hughes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Hughes: -19Tecia Pennington: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricSam HughesTecia Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 049
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.