August 2, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Sam Hughes's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Hughes for the expected result. Had Viktoriia Dudakova pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 003 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sam Hughes receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 97 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 193 | 144 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 139 | 104 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Sam Hughes controlled the striking exchanges with 139 vs 104 total strikes, 97 vs 61 significant strikes. Sam Hughes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:14 | 4:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 055 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Sam Hughes did not secure a significant ground advantage against Viktoriia Dudakova on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:14 of control time, 5 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 116 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Sam Hughes demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sam Hughes capitalized on this activity level, while Viktoriia Dudakova's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Sam Hughes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Viktoriia Dudakova is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sam Hughes | Viktoriia Dudakova |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.