Sam Patterson vs Trey Waters

September 6, 2025

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1118
(+34)
Sam Patterson
Winner: Sam Patterson
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:01

C-ELO Evolution

Sam Patterson+34
Trey Waters-28
1036
(-28)
Trey Waters

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +34Trey Waters: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Total UFC Fights53
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1131 075
ELO Change+34-34
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What Happened

Sam Patterson's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Patterson for the expected result. Had Trey Waters pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +21Trey Waters: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0631 022
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +69Trey Waters: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:013:01
Win Type ELO1 2511 066
ELO Change+69-32
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What Happened

Sam Patterson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +55Trey Waters: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Significant Strikes Landed2518
Significant Strikes Attempted4838
Total Strikes Landed2518
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1661 018
ELO Change+55-55
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What Happened

Sam Patterson slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 25 vs 18 significant strikes. Sam Patterson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +18Trey Waters: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1211 033
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +25Trey Waters: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Days Since Last Fight189484
Activity ELO1 0801 021
ELO Change+25-20
💡

What Happened

Sam Patterson demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sam Patterson capitalized on this activity level, while Trey Waters's 484-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +29Trey Waters: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 0841 029
ELO Change+29-21
💡

What Happened

Sam Patterson extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trey Waters is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: +21Trey Waters: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonTrey Waters
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0631 022
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.