September 6, 2025
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Sam Patterson's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Patterson for the expected result. Had Trey Waters pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 251 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -32 |
Sam Patterson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 166 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Sam Patterson slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 25 vs 18 significant strikes. Sam Patterson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 121 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 484 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Sam Patterson demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sam Patterson capitalized on this activity level, while Trey Waters's 484-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -21 |
Sam Patterson extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trey Waters is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sam Patterson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

