Sam Patterson vs Yanal Ashmouz

March 17, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

961
(-39)
Sam Patterson
Winner: Yanal Ashmouz
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Sam Patterson-39
Yanal Ashmouz+47
1047
(+47)
Yanal Ashmouz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -21Yanal Ashmouz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -21Yanal Ashmouz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -42Yanal Ashmouz: +101

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:151:15
Win Type ELO9581 101
ELO Change-42+101
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What Happened

Yanal Ashmouz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -108Yanal Ashmouz: +108

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Significant Strikes Landed215
Significant Strikes Attempted720
Total Strikes Landed215
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8921 108
ELO Change-108+108
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What Happened

Yanal Ashmouz edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 2 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Yanal Ashmouz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -59Yanal Ashmouz: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:07
Ground Strikes Landed013
Ground ELO9411 059
ELO Change-59+59
💡

What Happened

Yanal Ashmouz controlled Sam Patterson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -21Yanal Ashmouz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Yanal Ashmouz demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Yanal Ashmouz capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Patterson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -21Yanal Ashmouz: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Yanal Ashmouz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Patterson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Sam Patterson: -21Yanal Ashmouz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricSam PattersonYanal Ashmouz
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.