July 14, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Sam Sicilia's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Sicilia for the expected result. Had Yaotzin Meza pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 158 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Sam Sicilia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 066 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Yaotzin Meza controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (18 vs 12), superior accuracy (48.6% vs 29.3%). However, since Yaotzin Meza lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sam Sicilia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:26 | 1:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 111 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Sam Sicilia controlled Yaotzin Meza on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 8:26 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 172 | 95 |
| Activity ELO | 1 089 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -18 |
Sam Sicilia demonstrated solid activity levels with 172 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sam Sicilia capitalized on this activity level, while Yaotzin Meza's 95-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 039 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Sam Sicilia extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yaotzin Meza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sam Sicilia | Yaotzin Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.