June 11, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 008 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Spencer Fisher's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Sam Stout pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 955 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Spencer Fisher earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 286 | 239 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 908 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Spencer Fisher edged the striking exchanges with 88 vs 76 significant strikes, 36.8% vs 26.6% accuracy. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 914 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 353 | 138 |
| Activity ELO | 993 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +30 |
Spencer Fisher demonstrated solid activity levels with 138 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Stout's 353-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Spencer Fisher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Stout is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sam Stout | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

