February 21, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 049 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 162 | 167 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 069 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50 vs 44 significant strikes. Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 1:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 039 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio did not secure a significant ground advantage against Sean Strickland on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:28 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 268 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -26 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio demonstrated solid activity levels with 163 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Strickland's 268-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Strickland is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.