August 5, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 254 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 126 | 152 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 219 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 35 total strikes, 58 vs 35 significant strikes, 46.0% vs 23.0% accuracy. Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 1 150 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -19 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Santiago Ponzinibbio capitalized on this activity level, while Zak Cummings's 118-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Santiago Ponzinibbio extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zak Cummings is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.