Saparbeg Safarov vs Tyson Pedro

February 9, 2018

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

947
(-21)
Saparbeg Safarov
Winner: Tyson Pedro
Submission
Round 1 • 3:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Saparbeg Safarov-21
Tyson Pedro+25
1083
(+25)
Tyson Pedro

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -24Tyson Pedro: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9471 085
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tyson Pedro for the expected result. Had Saparbeg Safarov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -19Tyson Pedro: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9601 039
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -24Tyson Pedro: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:543:54
Win Type ELO9551 174
ELO Change-24+40
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -18Tyson Pedro: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Significant Strikes Landed812
Significant Strikes Attempted2223
Total Strikes Landed1017
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9071 120
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 52.2% vs 36.4% accuracy. Tyson Pedro capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -31Tyson Pedro: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time1:190:01
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO9151 073
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro edged out Saparbeg Safarov on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -17Tyson Pedro: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Days Since Last Fight428155
Activity ELO9661 087
ELO Change-17+29
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tyson Pedro capitalized on this activity level, while Saparbeg Safarov's 428-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -18Tyson Pedro: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9621 047
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Tyson Pedro started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Saparbeg Safarov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Saparbeg Safarov: -19Tyson Pedro: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricSaparbeg SafarovTyson Pedro
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9601 039
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.