December 18, 2015
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 933 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Valentina Shevchenko overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sarah Kaufman.
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Valentina Shevchenko receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 142 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 996 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Sarah Kaufman controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (142 vs 66 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (27 vs 32), superior accuracy (61.4% vs 72.7%). However, since Sarah Kaufman lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Valentina Shevchenko's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:51 | 6:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 961 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Valentina Shevchenko edged out Sarah Kaufman on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 6:13 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Sarah Kaufman's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Valentina Shevchenko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sarah Kaufman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sarah Kaufman | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.