January 15, 2021
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 909 | 938 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +49 |
Vanessa Melo overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sarah Moras.
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 940 | 964 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 944 | 951 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Vanessa Melo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 200 | 169 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 925 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Vanessa Melo edged the striking exchanges with 56 vs 44 significant strikes, 33.1% vs 22.0% accuracy. Vanessa Melo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 919 | 881 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 249 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 964 | 974 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Vanessa Melo demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vanessa Melo capitalized on this activity level, while Sarah Moras's 249-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 946 | 968 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Vanessa Melo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sarah Moras is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sarah Moras | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 940 | 964 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.