March 26, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 168 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Sean O'Malley overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thomas Almeida.
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 303 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -26 |
Sean O'Malley gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 149 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 321 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Sean O'Malley dominated the striking exchanges with 91 vs 25 total strikes, 86 vs 25 significant strikes, 57.7% vs 35.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Sean O'Malley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 116 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 146 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Sean O'Malley demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean O'Malley capitalized on this activity level, while Thomas Almeida's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 101 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Sean O'Malley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thomas Almeida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sean O'Malley | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

