September 9, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 962 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +45 |
Yancy Medeiros earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sean Spencer was submitted.
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 884 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Yancy Medeiros dominated the striking exchanges with 29.8% vs 19.1% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Yancy Medeiros capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 869 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +45 |
Yancy Medeiros demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yancy Medeiros capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Spencer's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 974 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Yancy Medeiros started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Spencer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sean Spencer | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

