Sean Strickland vs Tom Breese

June 3, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1169
(+28)
Sean Strickland
Winner: Sean Strickland
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Sean Strickland+28
Tom Breese-23
1097
(-23)
Tom Breese

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +30Tom Breese: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Total UFC Fights64
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1671 094
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Sean Strickland's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Strickland for the expected result. Had Tom Breese pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +21Tom Breese: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0831 038
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +11Tom Breese: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1941 201
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sean Strickland receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +25Tom Breese: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Significant Strikes Landed7362
Significant Strikes Attempted207153
Total Strikes Landed7762
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2641 198
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

Sean Strickland edged the striking exchanges with 73 vs 62 significant strikes. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +33Tom Breese: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted23
Ground Control Time0:180:11
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 2771 073
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +49Tom Breese: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Days Since Last Fight10498
Activity ELO1 1781 085
ELO Change+49-20
💡

What Happened

Sean Strickland demonstrated solid activity levels with 104 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Breese's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +27Tom Breese: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 1021 051
ELO Change+27-21
💡

What Happened

Sean Strickland extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Breese is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Sean Strickland: +21Tom Breese: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricSean StricklandTom Breese
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0831 038
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.