March 18, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -37 |
Sergei Pavlovich overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Shamil Abdurakhimov.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:03 | 4:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 298 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -44 |
Sergei Pavlovich earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 284 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Sergei Pavlovich controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Sergei Pavlovich landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 876 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Sergei Pavlovich demonstrated extended layoff with 876 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this activity level, while Shamil Abdurakhimov's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 068 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -22 |
Sergei Pavlovich extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shamil Abdurakhimov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.