December 2, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 271 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -35 |
Sergei Pavlovich overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tai Tuivasa.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:54 | 0:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 602 | 1 463 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -45 |
Sergei Pavlovich secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:54 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 588 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +153 | -153 |
Sergei Pavlovich dominated the striking exchanges with 23 vs 2 total strikes, 23 vs 2 significant strikes, 52.3% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 220 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Sergei Pavlovich landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 214 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -29 |
Sergei Pavlovich demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this activity level, while Tai Tuivasa's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 156 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -24 |
Sergei Pavlovich continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tai Tuivasa's now at 0.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 100 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.