November 10, 2023
UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 315 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 104 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:09 | 1:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 656 | 1 682 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +150 |
Tom Aspinall earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 454 | 1 679 |
| ELO Change | -238 | +238 |
Tom Aspinall controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 1 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 14.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 269 | 1 448 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +61 |
Tom Aspinall demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Sergei Pavlovich's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 196 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Tom Aspinall extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sergei Pavlovich is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Sergei Pavlovich | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 104 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

