October 4, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -44 |
Serghei Spivac overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tai Tuivasa.
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:14 | 3:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -62 |
Serghei Spivac earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:14, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tai Tuivasa was submitted.
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 965 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Serghei Spivac edged the striking exchanges with 54.8% vs 42.0% accuracy. Serghei Spivac capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:21 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 770 |
| ELO Change | +221 | -221 |
Serghei Spivac dominated Tai Tuivasa on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 4:21 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -29 |
Serghei Spivac demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Serghei Spivac capitalized on this activity level, while Tai Tuivasa's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Serghei Spivac started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tai Tuivasa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Serghei Spivac | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

