Seth Baczynski vs Simeon Thoresen

September 21, 2012

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1133
(+39)
Seth Baczynski
Winner: Seth Baczynski
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Seth Baczynski+39
Simeon Thoresen-30
1008
(-30)
Simeon Thoresen

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +25Simeon Thoresen: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Total UFC Fights52
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 124996
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Seth Baczynski's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Seth Baczynski for the expected result. Had Simeon Thoresen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +19Simeon Thoresen: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0651 002
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +74Simeon Thoresen: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:104:10
Win Type ELO1 2041 031
ELO Change+74-34
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +63Simeon Thoresen: -63

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Significant Strikes Landed1517
Significant Strikes Attempted7854
Total Strikes Landed1517
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 177962
ELO Change+63-63
💡

What Happened

Seth Baczynski controlled the striking exchanges with 19.2% vs 31.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Seth Baczynski capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +44Simeon Thoresen: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 2051 059
ELO Change+44-44
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +41Simeon Thoresen: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Days Since Last Fight106161
Activity ELO1 1411 005
ELO Change+41-16
💡

What Happened

Seth Baczynski demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Seth Baczynski capitalized on this activity level, while Simeon Thoresen's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +26Simeon Thoresen: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 0851 004
ELO Change+26-19
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Simeon Thoresen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Seth Baczynski: +19Simeon Thoresen: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricSeth BaczynskiSimeon Thoresen
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0651 002
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.