April 4, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 941 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 935 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +53 |
Wilson Gouveia earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Seth Petruzelli was submitted.
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Wilson Gouveia edged the striking exchanges with 17 vs 8 significant strikes, 43.6% vs 26.7% accuracy. Wilson Gouveia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 3:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 834 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Wilson Gouveia dominated Seth Petruzelli on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:14 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 177 | 222 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Wilson Gouveia demonstrated standard activity with 222 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Wilson Gouveia capitalized on this activity level, while Seth Petruzelli's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Wilson Gouveia extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Seth Petruzelli is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Seth Petruzelli | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.