March 2, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Shane Roller overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Tavares.
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -56 |
Shane Roller gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 091 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Shane Roller controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shane Roller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Shane Roller landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 160 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Shane Roller demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Shane Roller capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Tavares's 160-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Shane Roller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Shane Roller | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.