Shane del Rosario vs Stipe Miocic

May 25, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Shane del Rosario
Winner: Stipe Miocic
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:14

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Shane del Rosario-26
Stipe Miocic+32
1122
(+32)
Stipe Miocic

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -22Stipe Miocic: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9781 131
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Stipe Miocic's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stipe Miocic for the expected result. Had Shane del Rosario pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -18Stipe Miocic: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 061
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -24Stipe Miocic: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:143:14
Win Type ELO9761 212
ELO Change-24+48
💡

What Happened

Stipe Miocic gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -40Stipe Miocic: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Significant Strikes Landed3232
Significant Strikes Attempted4984
Total Strikes Landed3358
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9601 162
ELO Change-40+40
💡

What Happened

Stipe Miocic edged the striking exchanges with 58 vs 33 total strikes, 38.1% vs 65.3% accuracy. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -48Stipe Miocic: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:002:58
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO9521 168
ELO Change-48+48
💡

What Happened

Stipe Miocic controlled Shane del Rosario on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:58 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -17Stipe Miocic: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Days Since Last FightN/A101
Activity ELO9831 109
ELO Change-17+42
💡

What Happened

Stipe Miocic demonstrated solid activity levels with 101 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Shane del Rosario's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -18Stipe Miocic: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 073
ELO Change-18+23
💡

What Happened

Stipe Miocic extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shane del Rosario is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Shane del Rosario: -18Stipe Miocic: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricShane del RosarioStipe Miocic
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 061
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.