Shannon Gugerty vs Spencer Fisher

October 24, 2008

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1018
(-28)
Shannon Gugerty
Winner: Spencer Fisher
Submission
Round 3 • 3:56

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Shannon Gugerty-28
Spencer Fisher+33
1118
(+33)
Spencer Fisher

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -29Spencer Fisher: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Total UFC Fights210
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO9921 079
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Shannon Gugerty pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -19Spencer Fisher: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 070
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -30Spencer Fisher: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:563:56
Win Type ELO1 0391 214
ELO Change-30+45
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:56, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Shannon Gugerty was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -48Spencer Fisher: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Significant Strikes Landed2830
Significant Strikes Attempted4654
Total Strikes Landed5476
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0161 173
ELO Change-48+48
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What Happened

Spencer Fisher controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 54 total strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -54Spencer Fisher: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted132
Ground Control Time6:192:48
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 0771 084
ELO Change-54+54
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher edged out Shannon Gugerty on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:48 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -14Spencer Fisher: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Days Since Last Fight98126
Activity ELO1 0071 164
ELO Change-14+29
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Shannon Gugerty's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -18Spencer Fisher: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0051 087
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Spencer Fisher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shannon Gugerty is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Shannon Gugerty: -19Spencer Fisher: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricShannon GugertySpencer Fisher
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 070
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.